Tag Archives: july murder rate

44 homicides in July; 584 so far in 2012

El Diario reports 44 homicides in the month of July, another decrease from 49 in June.  Diario gives a total of 580 for the year so far, but by the monthly tallies I have, I think a better figure is 584.  This is an average of 2.7 murders each day in the city. Projecting that the downward trend continues and murders fall to 30 per month for the rest of the year, 2012 will end with more than 700 homicides. About 320 people were victims in 2007–the highest figure ever recorded in the city before the explosion of violence in 2008.

Jan 122; Feb 82; Mar 105; Apr 108; May 74; June 49; July 44

This figure is also consistent with a report an independent researcher got from an official at the Juarez morgue earlier this week–582.  I believe that the discrepancy is due to how some crimes are categorized as “homicidios culposos” rather than dolosos… But I will report the number of 584 as I think it is more accurate.

Three of the victims in July were women. The article reports a total of 70 women victims in 2012, but adding up the monthly reports comes to 73.
Jan 12; Feb 10; Mar 15; Apr 18; May 6; June 9; July 3
Women are 12.5 percent of the total homicide victims in the city.  This rate is consistent with rates over the years: when the overall number of homicides are higher as in 2008-2011, the percentage of the total who are women has tended to go down to between 5 and 8 percent.  When the homicide rates decrease to what seems to be “normal” for the city (as in the current downward trend), then the percentage of the victims who are women rises slightly. I’ve posted below the Diario article all of the numbers I have since 1993.  molly

Juarez Murders 1993-July 2012

 

Total 1993-2007 = 3,538 (0.7 per day)

2007 =  320

2008 = 1,623

2009 = 2,754

2010 = 3,622 (**)

2011 = 2,086

2012 = 584 (as of July 31)

Total killed since 2007 = 10,989

Total killed since 1993 = 14,527

Average of 6.3 people per day since Jan 2008

(**original media tally for 2010=3,111; March 2011 Fiscalia report = 3,951; Fiscalia spokesman gave new figure of 3,622 to Reuters reporter in October 2011)

 

MURDERS OF WOMEN

1993-2007………………427 (3,538) – 12%

2008 ……………………….87   (1,623) – 5.3%

2009……………………….164 (2,754)—5.9%

2010 ………………………304 (3,622) – 8.3%

2011 …………………….. 196  (2,086) – 9.3%

2012 (as of July 31) ………73 (584) – 12.5%

Women…………1,251 ( 14,527 total victims) – 8.6%

Women = 8.6 percent

 of total murder victims over the past 18 years

Statistics from El Diario based on official data from the Chihuahua State Attorney General

2 shootouts leave at least 3 dead on Tuesday in Juarez; total of 30 homicides as of July 23

After the report that came out on Monday that as of July 21, there had been only 23 murders in Juarez, the next 2 days (Monday and Tuesday) turned much more violent. On July 22 there were three murders in all. On July 23, by early afternoon, there had been 3 separate murders: a man was killed while eating at a burrito stand in an incident that also left the owner of the stand seriously injured. Another man was shot to death while drinking whiskey at a drive-in.  Early in the morning, a man was found dead in an abandoned house in the Parajes del Sol neighborhood. Then, later on Tuesday night, there were 2 confrontations between municipal and federal police and “sicarios.” The stories  are quite confusing. Note the statements that some of the attackers were members of the Sinaloa cartel?  These stories seem to need some sorting out. But, as far as I can tell, in the first attack, one “sicario” was killed and two police seriously injured. In the other event, at least 2 people were killed, also identified as “sicarios.”  By my quick reading of these, it seems that at least 3 people died in these shootouts and added to the other 3 murders yesterday, a total of 6. So adding these 9 people to the previous count, there have now been about 30 people killed as of July 23. molly