New crime (and crime victim) statistics have been released by the SESNSP, the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System. The complete publication, updated through June 30, 2020 is available at this link:
As noted in the Animal Politico article
(link posted below): “In the first 6 months of this year, 17,982 people were murdered. On average nearly 100 premeditated murders every day in 2020, the majority of them with firearms. It is an unprecedented level of violence for a first half-year in the country. The victims of homicide and feminicide officially reported in the first six months of this year exceed by more than 300 the 17,653 documented in 2019, which until now was the highest level of violence recorded in the past 25 years.”
Here are the numbers as I have tallied them based on reviewing this SESNSP document each month:
The Mexican government began counting feminicidios as a separate category of victims of homicide who were determined to have been killed “for reasons of gender…” A total of 17,982 homicidios dolosos (intentional homicides) and feminicidios were recorded January-June 2020–this is an average of 98.8 murders each day in 2020. The statistics show a notable increase (from 73 to 99) feminicidios between May and June 2020. If this level of homicide continues, it is likely that the 2020 death toll may exceed 36,000–the highest number ever recorded in the official Mexican data for these crimes.
The Animal Politico article below details other comparisons that emerge from the statistics which indicate a steady rise in homicides over the past 6 years. Eleven states in Mexico show increases in homicides, lead by Zacatecas and Michoacan in terms of rate of increase in the number of murder victims. In terms of the raw numbers, the increases in Guanajuato, Chihuahua and Michoacan are especially serious since these three states (plus Baja California, Estado de Mexico, and Jalisco) account for 9,193 homicides–more than half of all homicides committed in the country. Of course, this is related to the fact that these states are also large in terms of population. It will be necessary to review the numbers in relation to the populations (murder rate per 100,000) to actually determine which states are overall most violent in terms of homicide.
The Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Geografia (INEGI) usually releases its homicide data for the past year in July, so we may be able to get an idea of how the states compare in terms of murder rates. To recall, the SESNSP data compiles the number of homicide victims indicated in the homicide investigation files opened by the public prosecutors in each Mexican state. INEGI compiles homicide data based on the determinations of cause of death as indicated by legal medical examinations from the various morgues across the country. molly molloy
Los primeros seis meses de este año desplazaron a los de 2019 como los más violentos de los que haya registro y la cifra de asesinatos es mas del doble de la registrada en 2015.
En los primeros seis meses de este año fueron asesinadas 17 mil 982 personas en México. Se trata, en promedio, de casi 100 asesinatos de forma premeditada todos los días en 2020, la mayoría de ellas con armas de fuego. Es un nivel de violencia inédito para un primer semestre en el país.
Full article from Animal Politico at the link:
According to the latest published homicide data from the Mexican government, there were 3000 intentional homicides and 78 feminicidios from January-March 2020. These are the “Victims of Crime” data published on the 20th of each month. This is the link to the data published on April 20, 2020:
According to this set of data (reported to the SESNSP in the Sec. de Gobernacion by the Fiscalias of the Mexican states) there have been a total of 8585 intentional homicides January-March 2020 and an additional 244 crimes classified as Feminicidios (murders with gender as the motivation).
On average, there are about 97 homicides each day in Mexico, about the same in the first quarter of 2020 as the 2019 average. (posted below).
The SESNSP document entitled: Víctimas de Delitos del Fuero Común: Instrumento para el Registro, Clasificacion y Reporte de Delitos y las Víctimas CNSP /38/15
includes the numbers of crime victims for all of the Mexican states + the national data. According to the description of the data, “The figures refer to the number of victims registered in the investigation files initiated by the Agencies of the Public Ministry and reported by the Attorneys General and Fiscalias of the 32 federal entitites (Mexican states), and these are the offices responsible for the veracity and currency of the data. ” The most current data for January-March 2020 was published on April 20, 2020.
People will certainly be looking for any significant changes in the data that will be published in May (for the months January-April) to determine whether or not the COVID-19 pandemic will have an impact on the overall criminal violence in Mexico, or rather, if there will be an decrease in homicides.
If the monthly figures for Ciudad Juarez are any indication, the city is increasingly violent in April, along with the new death toll from the virus. So far in April, there have been more than 125 murders in the city. According to the official COVID-19 statistics published on the El Diario front page https://diario.mx/
there have been 42 deaths from the virus in Juarez and 1,221 deaths nationally in Mexico. molly molloy, email@example.com
The Executive Secretariat for the National System for Public Security (SESNSP) is a division of the Mexican Secretary of Gobernacion. Each month the SESNSP publishes statistics on the numbers of crimes and crime victims in the 32 states of Mexico. Those data are available online at this link:
New data generally comes online around the 20th of each month. The current data is for January – October 2019. The numbers below include the total number of intentional homicide victims + the number of feminicide victims. The crime of feminicide is defined as the murder of a woman with a clear gender motive.
As I was looking at the data in the latest report, I noticed that the column for homicidios dolosos had been adjusted slightly in some of the past months, generally down, and the numbers of feminicides had increased slightly. I assume this is because as a crime is investigated, it may be reclassified.
These numbers indicate an average of 2,957 homicide victims each month; 97 victims each day.
In the Animal Politico article posted below, the figure of 32,565 includes homicide and feminicide victims from December 2018 (the first month of the AMLO sexenio – October 2019).
The thing about these numbers that stands out most to me is how little variation there is from month to month. The numbers are slightly higher than 2018, but very similar.
If these trends continue, close to 35,500 people will become murder victims in Mexico in 2019.
In terms of comparison with past years, the chart below shows the numbers of homicidios dolosos 2008 – October 2019.
Animal Politico reports the homicides for DEC 2018 (first month of AMLO sexenio) – OCT 2019
The total homicides + feminicides Jan-Oct 2019 = 29,574
Luego de que en el primer semestre de 2019 se registró una tendencia al alza, el promedio diario de asesinatos a partir de julio se ha estabilizado. Colima lidera en homicidios y Veracruz en feminicidios.
El número de personas asesinadas en lo que va del sexenio del presidente Andrés Manuel López Obrador – de diciembre de 2018 a octubre de 2019 – ascendió a 32 mil 565 víctimas, entre homicidios y feminicidios. Ello equivale, en promedio, a por lo menos 97 personas asesinadas todos los días en México.
Se trata del arranque de sexenio con mayor número de homicidios de los últimos cuatro gobiernos federales. No obstante, los datos oficiales también evidencian que la cifra mensual de crímenes se ha estabilizado desde que arrancó el segundo semestre de este 2019, frenándose así la tendencia al alza registrada en la primera parte del año.
De acuerdo con la estadística actualizada del Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNSP), en octubre de 2019 las procuradurías y fiscalías del país reportaron 2 mil 866 víctimas de homicidios dolosos y 67 víctimas de feminicidio. Es decir, un total de 2 mil 933 personas asesinadas y un promedio diario de 94.6 casos.
Mexico’s Secretariat for Security & Citizen Protection of the Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNSP) updated crime victims statistics on September 20, with data on a variety of crimes for January-August 2019.
The numbers continue to move steadily upward, with totals of nearly 3,000 victims of homicide each month so far this year. The table below includes just the numbers of “homicidios dolosos” (intentional homicides/murders) and “feminicidios,” defined as gender-related homicides. The total number of homicides reported for 8 months is 23,724 (including homicidios dolosos + feminicidios)–on average about 98 people each day are victims of homicide in Mexico. If the trend continues at the same rate, the year will end with a death toll of more than 35,600 victims—this is about 1000 more victims according to the same dataset from 2018.
The only thing that really jumps out from these numbers is how depressingly similar the last few years have been in terms of the continual growth of homicidal violence in Mexico. It has been 10 months since AMLO took over as President, promising to improve security for the Mexican people, but the violence continues to increase. Also, at the high point of Calderon’s “drug war,” in 2011, there were about 27,200 homicides. After a decrease from 2012-2015, the trend turned around and started to climb. So far, it seems that the next high point remains in the future. Without considering the estimated 30,000-40,000 missing or disappeared, more than 301,000 Mexicans have been murdered since 2007.
[The tables above are screenshots from a spreadsheet I use to keep track of these numbers.]
Con más de 3 mil homicidios en agosto, 2019 mantiene récord de violencia
Colima, Baja California y Chihuahua registran las tasas más altas de homicidio doloso, mientras que Veracruz lidera en feminicidios.
En agosto, un total de 3 mil 54 personas fueron asesinadas en México. Con ello asciende a más de 23 mil 700 la cifra de personas asesinadas este año, lo que mantiene a 2019 en un nivel récord de violencia homicida. Los estados de Colima, Baja California y Chihuahua registran las tasas más altas de homicidio en lo que va del año, mientras que Veracruz lidera en el caso específico de los feminicidios.
Los datos oficiales actualizados del Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNSP) detallan que en agosto se registraron 2 mil 966 casos de homicidio doloso y 88 víctimas de feminicidio. Ello representa un promedio de entre 98 y 99 personas asesinadas todos los días.
The new cumulative data bulletin from Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Geografia (INEGI) was released on July 25, 2019, covering 2009-2018, total homicide data from Mexico. The full bulletin is online here:
Below is a table of summary data from 2007-present. The numbers for 2007-2018 are from INEGI; the figure for January-June 2019 is from the SESNSP:
The INEGI data is released each year at this time and I’ve saved and compiled it since about 2008. The preliminary data on Mexican homicides is released each month from a different agency, the SESNSP which reports homicides from procuradoras or fiscalias (state prosecutors’ offices) in each Mexican state. The INEGI data is gathered and reported from medical legal investigators offices in all of the states, compiling data from death certificates listing homicide as cause of death. So the two data sources are not exactly comparable. The INEGI data is generally considered the most valid.
Since I started tracking this about 10 years ago, the INEGI data has usually been higher than the preliminary SESNSP figures. For example, the SESNSP reported a total of 33,523 homicides in Mexico in 2018; the new INEGI data reports 35,964 for the same period. This new data shows that the increase in homicides from 2017-2018 was much higher than previously reported.
In addition to the raw numbers, the INEGI report shows the murder rate (# of homicides per 100,000 people) for the nation and for each state in Mexico. Between 2017 and 2018, the murder rate jumped from 26 to 29. It is significant to note that in 2011–the most violent year of the so-called “war on drugs”–the murder rate in Mexico was 24.
Adding in the estimate of January-June 2019 homicides from the SESNSP, the official number of victims for the past 12.5 years is now approaching 300,000. On average from 2007-June 2019, more than 65 people have been murdered each day in Mexico. During 2019, on average, 99 people per day were murdered in Mexico. This figure DOES NOT include any of the estimated 40,000 people reported missing and/or disappeared in Mexico. molly molloy
Screenshot from the INEGI report: https://www.inegi.org.mx/contenidos/saladeprensa/boletines/2019/EstSegPub/homicidios2018.pdf
New statistics from the National Public Security system were released yesterday, including the numbers of homicide and feminicide victims January – May 2019 in Mexico. Homicides increased in the month of May after a small decrease in April. So far this year, there have been about 14,500 intentional homicides; the number includes murders categorized as feminicides. This is an average of 96 murder victims each day in Mexico.
In the article below from Animal Politico, the number of homicides from December 2018 is included, in order to provide the total murders since the beginning of Lopez Obrador’s term in office = 17,498. An average of nearly 3,000 homicides each month.
As I’ve noted before, I am not certain that the number of feminicidios is in addition to the other homicidios dolosos or if it is included in the larger number. There is a special definition of feminicidio as a gender-specific crime. Animal Politico adds the feminicidios to the total.
The source for these numbers is the Secretariados Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Publica, an agency of the Secretaria de Gobernacion. You can access these data and other statistics here:
The documents include separate listings for each state and also include numbers of victims of other crimes.
Con 17,500 asesinatos, el primer semestre de AMLO es el más violento de los últimos sexenios
Mayo es el mes con el total más alto de homicidios y feminicidios y el segundo con mayor tasa del actual sexenio. Nuevo León, Tabasco y CDMX con el mayor repunte de crímenes
I checked the newest statistics from the Mexican SESNSP which include the number of homicide victims nationwide and by state for the month of January 2019. These are online here:
The total number of victims of homicidio doloso (intentional homicide) for January was 2,853. This comes to an average of 92 victims per day. There were 304 female homicide victims, 10 per day, or 10.6 percent of the total homicide victims.
The SESNSP statistics also record 75 victims of feminicidio. This is (I believe) a subset of the total of 304 female victims in which the prosecutors have determined that the woman was murdered because of her gender. The article in El Universal discusses the confusing nature of this way of classifying victims. The article quotes Maria de la Luz Estrada, coordinator of the National Citizens Observatory of Feminicide: “The authorities often designate many homicides as related to organized crime and those are simply not investigated…thus the numbers (of feminicides) tend to be lower.”
The numbers reported do indicate a slight increase in the percentage of homicide victims who are women, and an overall increase in the number of homicides nationwide in Mexico.
According to the data for all of 2018 reported here:
there were 33,341 intentional homicides in Mexico during 2018, an average of 91 victims each day.
The data in this document is not broken down by gender, however SESNSP reports that there were 861 feminicidios in 2018.
According to El Diario there were 95 homicides in Juarez during February 2019. In January there were 108 homicides so the total now for the year is 203. The article also provides a figure of more than 5,000 homicides statewide in Chihuahua dating from October 2016 when the administration of Governor Javier Corral began. The city of Juarez accounts for about HALF of the total homicides in the state of Chihuahua.
On average, 3.4 people have been murdered in Ciudad Juarez each day in 2019. There were a total of 1,259 murders in Juarez during 2018, an average of 3.4 murder victims per day.
Also below, El Diario reported the first homicide of March which occurred at about 12:20 am on March 1, 2019.
It may be worth noting again in terms of the Trump rhetoric of chaos and violence at the border, that the cities on the US side of the border have low homicide rates.
El Paso recently reported 23 homicides during 2018, and an average of 16 murders per year during the past decade.
The city announced on Friday that 2018 saw the lowest crime rate in 34 years, just as President Donald Trump has recently called the current state of the southwest border a national security crisis. There were no homicides in McAllen last year. There was the fewest number of robberies and aggravated assaults on record.
Termina febrero con 95 homicidios: Aumentan 121%
Van 203 en el año en Juárez y más de 5 mil en el estado en administración de Corral
El Diario de Juárez
Viernes, 01 Marzo 2019 | 06:00
El Mes De Febrero Cerró Con 95 Homicidios Dolosos Ocurridos En Ciudad Juárez, Que Representan Un Incremento Del 121 Por Ciento Respecto Al Mismo Mes Del Año Pasado, Cuando Hubo 43, De Acuerdo Con La Estadística De La Fiscalía Zona Norte.
La cifra, sumada a las 108 víctimas de enero, alcanza los 203 asesinatos en el 2019 al cierre de esta edición, mientras que en el mismo período del 2018 el registro oficial fue de 99 casos.
And the first victim of March 2019…killed at 12:20 am on March 1…
Acribillan a hombre en Eco 2000
En el lugar del asesinato fueron asegurados cinco casquillos percutidos de calibre 9 milímetros
El Diario de Juárez
Viernes, 01 Marzo 2019 | 06:12
Ciudad Juárez— Un hombre fue asesinado a balazos en los primeros minutos de este día, en el fraccionamiento Eco 2000.
Pegado a la pared de una casa, con cinco heridas de bala en cabeza, pecho y brazo derecho, quedó la víctima.
El homicidio ocurrió a las 00:20 horas, en las calles Lince y Santiago Troncoso.