frontera-list HOMICIDE VICTIMS IN MEXICO 2007-OCTOBER 2017…Summary

The most recent SESNSP data on homicide and other crime victims was published last week and shows a continuing increase in reported homicides nationwide in Mexico. The full report is available here: http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2017_102017.pdf
A quick summary of the homicide data for 2007-October 2017 is compiled below. molly ​molloy​

HOMICIDE VICTIMSINMEXICO2007-OCTOBER 2017

Summary compiled by Molly Molloy, Latest update November 27, 2017

YEAR #Homicides Rate=#/100,000
2007* 8,867 8
2008 14,006 13
2009 19,803 18
2010 25,757 23
2011 27,213 24
2012 25,967 22
2013 23,063 19
2014 20,010 17
2015 20,525 17
2016 23,953 20
2017(Jan-Oct)** 23,968
TOTAL 233,132

The SESNSP REPORTED A TOTAL of 2,764 intentional homicides (homicidios dolosos) in October 2017. This is 200 more homicidios dolosos as reported in September 2017 and continues a trend of increasing violence in 2017. At this rate of increase, it is likely that 2017 will be the most violent year in recent history in Mexico. The previous high of 27,757 in 2011 could be surpassed this year if the current trend continues. With an average of 79 people per day, it is reasonable to predict more than 28,700 homicides in 2017.

If we add the estimate of more than 30,000 people reported missing/disappeared as reported by Mexican government agencies and civic groups, then the number of people killed or disappeared since 2007 is likely greated than 263,000. See:

http://www.univision.com/noticias/desapariciones/una-lista-de-desaparecidos-en-mexico-incluye-por-primera-vez-la-identidad-de-30-000-personas

http://personasdesaparecidas.org.mx/semblanza

Registro Nacional de Datos de Personas Extraviadas o Desaparecidas: https://rnped.segob.gob.mx/

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mexico-crime/mexico-enacts-law-to-help-find-thousands-missing-in-gang-violence-idUSKBN1DH07U

*Homicide totals 2007-2016 from INEGI in report released in July 2017. See: http://www.inegi.org.mx/saladeprensa/boletines/2017/homicidios/homicidios2017_07.pdf

**Homicide totals for 2017 from SESNSP:

The latest report covers numbers of victims through October 2017: gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2017_102017.pdf

Charts for 2017 from SESNSP January-October:

Source: http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2017_102017.pdf

Homicides decreased slightly during the first three years of Enrique Peña Nieto’s sexenio, but have increased significantly since 2015.

Sexenio Homicides INEGI Homicides per day
Salinas 1989-1994 93,493* 43
Zedillo 1995-2000 80,311 36
Fox 2001-2006 60,162 27
Calderón 2007-2012 121,683 56

*INEGI homicide data for 1990-1994 plus SINAIS (Sistema Nacional de Informacion de Salud) for 1989.

For an older and more detailed explanation of Mexican homicide statistics during this period of hyperviolence, see:

http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/the-mexican-undead-toward-a-new-history-of-the-%E2%80%9Cdrug-war%E2%80%9D-killing-fields The Mexican Undead: Toward a New History of the “Drug War” Killing Fields

72 homicides in Juarez in September; 536 for the year so far…

There were 72 homicides in the city of Juarez during September. The total homicide toll for the year now stands at 532 (or according to the previous accounts in El Diario, my total is 536). The end of September marks one year since the PAN governor Javier Corral took office in the state of Chihuahua and the news analysis looks at the year–from October 2016–September 2017. The article below by Sandra Rodriguez looks at the increases in homicides and finds a 60% increase when compared to the previous Oct 2015-2016 period… The central zone (where the capital city of Chihuahua is located) showed the highest rate of increase… In addition to the higher number of homicides, the period has seen an increase in "high impact" crimes, including multiple homicides in public places, executions in bars and nightclubs, the murder of two journalists (Jesus Adrian Rodriguez Samaniego and Miroslava Breach), 15 people killed in a massacre in Madera and on September 26, the murder of 15 people in a rehabilitation center in Ciudad Chihuahua.
Below are the statistics I have from previous El Diario summary articles this year. molly molloy

Juarez 2017
January 54
February 87
March 71
April 31
May 45
June 81
July 49
August 46
September 72
October
November
December
TOTAL 536

Cierra septiembre con 72 asesinatos

Crece violencia casi al triple con Corral

Sandra Rodríguez/
El Diario de Juárez | Domingo 01 Octubre 2017 | 00:01:00 hrs

Juarez murders in 8 months surpass total for 2015

​By
Molly Molloy

El Diario reports today that in 8 months the death toll from homicide in Juarez has surpassed the total for all of 2015. So far there have been at least 313 homicides in 2016; the total in 2015 was 312. In just the past week, more than 22 people have been victims of homicide. Current city officials seem to be crediting the increasing homicides to the October change of government in Juarez and in the state of Chihuahua and are calling on incoming officials to get up to speed on security measures. For at least 2 weeks, operatives from SEDENA (the military) have been participating in security operations in Juarez. Among recent victims of the violence are businesspeople, pregnant women, customers at auto dealerships, fathers in company of their families and bus drivers. molly

En ocho meses superan ejecuciones todo 2015

Colombia…comparison w/ Mexican “drug war” deaths

​By
Molly Molloy

There is a lot of media coverage today of the long-awaited Colombian peace accords. The Colombian conflict is described as the longest violent conflict in the hemisphere–more than 52 years of fighting. I would recommend this publication from the Latin American Working Group (posted below) and also this LAWG document noting the deaths attributed to different combatants: government armed forces, right-wing paramilitaries and leftist guerrillas. See: http://www.lawg.org/storage/documents/Col_Costs_fnl.pdf
I was especially struck by this paragraph:
______
The human costs of the conflict are devastating. More than 220,000 people —over 80 percent of whom were civilians— lost their lives in the brutal war. Over the course of the conflict, more than 6 million Colombians were forcibly displaced, more than 45,000 were disappeared, and countless women suffered sexual violence that often went unrecognized.

______

I’ve also posted below the recent data on homicides in Mexico and I note that according to the government’s own statistics, more than 220,000 people have been murdered or disappeared in Mexico in LESS THAN 10 YEARS.

In any comparison of homicide or violent conflict between countries, comparative population must be considered.
Current estimate of Mexico’s population: 123,000,000
Current estimate of Colombia’s population: 48,000,000.
Mexico is 2.5 times bigger than than Colombia in terms of population.

Yet, more people have been killed in Mexico in less than 10 years (since the beginning of the "drug war" in late 2006) than in 52 years of the Colombian civil war.

Colombia Peace Accord Offers Opportunity for Sustainable Peace

View/Download this statement as a PDF.
[Para leer el comunicado en espanol, haga clic aquí.]

HOMICIDES IN MEXICO 2007-JULY 2016

YEAR #Homicides Rate=#/100,000
2007* 8,867 8
2008 14,006 13
2009 19,803 18
2010 25,757 23
2011 27,213 24
2012 25,967 22
2013 23,063 19
2014 20,010 17
2015 20,525 17
2016**(jan-july) 11,257
TOTAL 196,468

A TOTAL of 1,842 intentional homicides (homicidios dolosos) in July 2016;

11,257 so far, Jan-July 2016. This averaged to 53 homicides per day so far in 2016.

An average of 56 homicides PER DAY from January 2007-July 2016

If we add the estimate of approximately 25,000 people missing and/or disappeared as reported by the Mexican government***, then the number of people killed or disappeared since 2007 is at least: 221,468

*Homicide totals 2007-2015 from INEGI: http://www.inegi.org.mx/saladeprensa/boletines/2016/especiales/especiales2016_07_04.pdf

**Homicide totals 2016 from SESNSP:

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/estadisticas%20del%20fuero%20comun/Cieisp2016_072016.pdf

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2016_062016.pdf

*** http://www.pgjdf.gob.mx/index.php/servicios/atencionvictimas/capea1

http://eleconomista.com.mx/sociedad/2015/06/04/hay-mexico-25398-personas-desaparecidas

Mexico murder numbers increase in first half of 2016

By Molly Molloy

Two excellent articles posted below from VICE on the rising murder rates in Mexico. The Interior ministry (SEGOB) has released mid-year crime statistics. See:http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2016_062016.pdf

Here is also a summary of the homicide statistics from 2007:

HOMICIDES IN MEXICO 2007-JUNE 2016

YEAR #Homicides Rate=#/100,000
2007* 8,867 8
2008 14,006 13
2009 19,803 18
2010 25,757 23
2011 27,213 24
2012 25,967 22
2013 23,063 19
2014 19,669 16
2015** 18,650 15
2016**(jan-june) 10,301
193,296

A TOTAL of 1,828 intentional homicides (homicidios dolosos) in June 2016;

10,301 so far, Jan-June 2016. This averaged to 57 homicides per day in the first half of 2016.

An average of 56 homicides PER DAY from January 2007-June 2016

If we add approximately 25,000 people missing and/or disappeared as reported by the Mexican government***, then the number of people killed or disappeared since 2007 is at least: 218,296.

*Homicide totals 2007-2014 from INEGI: http://www.inegi.org.mx/saladeprensa/boletines/2015/especiales/especiales2015_07_4.pdf

**Homicide totals 2015-2016 from SESNSP:

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2015_122015.pdf

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/estadisticas%20del%20fuero%20comun/Cieisp2016_032016.pdf

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2016_062016.pdf

*** http://www.pgjdf.gob.mx/index.php/servicios/atencionvictimas/capea1

http://eleconomista.com.mx/sociedad/2015/06/04/hay-mexico-25398-personas-desaparecidas

Homicides decreased slightly during the first three years of Enrique Peña Nieto’s sexenio, but have increased significantly in the first half of 2016. The average # of homicides PER DAY still stands at about 56—the number for all 6 years of Calderon’s term.

Sexenio Homicides INEGI Homicides per day
Salinas 1989-1994 93,493* 43
Zedillo 1995-2000 80,311 36
Fox 2001-2006 60,162 27
Calderón 2007-2012 121,683 56

*INEGI homicide data for 1990-1994 plus SINAIS (Sistema Nacional de Informacion de Salud) for 1989.

https://news.vice.com/article/after-years-of-decline-mexicos-murder-rate-is-heading-back-to-peak-drug-war-levels

After years of decline, Mexico’s murder rate is heading back to peak drug war levels

https://news.vice.com/article/five-families-massacred-in-two-weeks-as-mexicos-murder-rate-surges

Five families massacred in two weeks as Mexico’s murder rate surges

Caro Quintero desde la clandestinidad: “Yo no maté a Enrique Camarena” PROCESO

By Molly Molloy

PROCESO magazine has just published an interview, from a secret hiding place, with Rafael Caro Quintero. There is an excerpt of video online and it will be released in full on Monday, according to the website… The article is by Anabel Hernandez… I’ve not read the whole interview (20+ pages) but Hernandez asks Caro to respond to the recent media reports from several army and police sources and by the Chihuahua attorney general, that he plans to take over the Ciudad Juarez plaza…. Here’s a quick translation:

Hernandez: Are you at war with the Sinaloa Cartel?

Caro Quintero: In the first place I don’t have problems with any cartel. I do not know the Beltran Leyva family and I have no problems with them. Nor with the Guzman family. If they have a problem, it is their problem. I respect the Beltrans and I respect the Guzman family also. I respect both families. I don’t know what was the motive for me to be mentioned in this way. I have no problem of this kind and more importantly, I have no reason to be involved in a war. I am struggling to resolve my own problems…Imagine, I was in prison for 29 years. Do you think I’m interested in more problems?

–¿Usted tiene una guerra contra el Cártel de Sinaloa?

–En primer lugar yo no tengo problemas con ningún cártel. No conozco a la familia Beltrán Leyva y no tengo ningún problema con ellos. Y con la familia Guzmán tampoco. Si ellos traen algún problema es de ellos, mis respetos tanto a los Beltrán como a la familia Guzmán, mis respetos para ambas familias, y no sé cuál fue el motivo, por qué me sacaron a mí ahí. Yo no estoy relacionado con ningún problema de esta índole y menos estoy involucrado en una guerra. Si ando batallando para arreglar mi problema… Imagínese, con casi 29 años que estuve preso, ¿tendría ganas de más problemas?

There is much more to the interview, including Caro Quintero’s assertion that he had nothing to do with the murder of Enrique Camarena… A selection of the article is at this link:

Caro Quintero desde la clandestinidad: “Yo no maté a Enrique Camarena

frontera-list Homicides in Mexico data from SESNSP Jan-May 2016

By Molly Molloy

Mexico’s SESNSP (Secretariado Ejecutivo de Seguridad Publica) has released national and state homicide statistics for May 2016. See:

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/incidencia-delictiva/incidencia-delictiva-fuero-comun.php
And the pdf with detailed statistics on many different crimes: http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/estadisticas%20del%20fuero%20comun/Cieisp2016_052016.pdf
Also below is a good summary of the statistics on violent crome so far this year from Animal Politico–the major trend is that homicides are on the rise GENERALLY across the country, not just isolated in particular states or regions.

There were 1,746 homicidios dolosos (intentional homicides) nationally in Mexico during May 2016–an increase of 212 over the number of murders in April, continuing a general upward trend for every month this year (except for a small decrease between Mar & Apr).
Jan 1441
Feb 1479
Mar 1543
April 1534
May 1746

HOMICIDES IN MEXICO 2007-MAY 2016

YEAR #Homicides Rate=#/100,000
2007* 8,867 8
2008 14,006 13
2009 19,803 18
2010 25,757 23
2011 27,213 24
2012 25,967 22
2013 23,063 19
2014 19,669 16
2015** 18,650 15
2016**(jan-may) 7,743
190,738

An average of 55 homicides PER DAY from January 2007-May 2016

If we add approximately 25,000 people missing and/or disappeared as reported by the Mexican government***, then the number of people killed or disappeared since 2007 is at least: 215,738.

*Homicide totals 2007-2014 from INEGI: http://www.inegi.org.mx/saladeprensa/boletines/2015/especiales/especiales2015_07_4.pdf

**Homicide totals 2015-2016 from SESNSP:

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2015_122015.pdf

http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/estadisticas%20del%20fuero%20comun/Cieisp2016_032016.pdf

*** http://www.pgjdf.gob.mx/index.php/servicios/atencionvictimas/capea1

http://eleconomista.com.mx/sociedad/2015/06/04/hay-mexico-25398-personas-desaparecidas

__________

GO TO LINK FOR GRAPHICS

http://www.animalpolitico.com/2016/06/el-alza-en-homicidios-se-generaliza-en-mexico-ya-son-23-estados-con-incremento-de-asesinatos/

3 killed in Salvarcar; other violence in Juarez since Friday

​By
Molly Molloy

Several violent incidents resulting in homicides in Juarez this weekend. On Saturday, three people were shot to death in the patio of a house in the Colonia Salvarcar. It appears that the target of a group of armed men was a 35 year old man named Crispin Lopez who was said to be a drug pusher. He had recently been deported from the US. The other victims were Francisco and Guadalupe Chavez Miranda, aged 72 and 79. The house was reported to have operated as a "picadero" (a place where small amounts of drugs were sold and used by people in the neighborhood.

On Friday, the owner of a tire repair shop was shot to death while accompanied by his 2 daughters in the colonia Misiones del Real. A 7-yr-old girl was shot in the stomach and brought to the hospital while the other child escaped. Witnesses said the shooters appeared to be two young men, no older than 18.

Also on Friday, a decomposed body was found in the trunk of a car that had been impounded in a municipal lot.

The articles from El Diario are posted below… molly

Ejecutan a tres en Salvárcar

Staff/

El Diario | Domingo 10 Abril 2016 | 00:00:00 hrs

Staff/El Diario | Dos de los cuerpos quedaron en el patio de la vivienda

Ejecutan a hombre acompañado de 2 niñas; una está lesionada

Staff/

El Diario | Viernes 08 Abril 2016 | 20:56 hrs

Hallan ‘encajuelado’ en un corralón municipal

Staff

El Diario | Viernes 08 Abril 2016 | 14:50 hrs

Being A Journalist In Veracruz, Mexico, Is A Very Dangerous Profession…NPR

By Molly Molloy

Finally, clear, unequivocal mainstream reporting that the STATE POLICE in Mexico abduct and kill journalists in Veracruz. Audio at the link…

Being A Journalist In Veracruz, Mexico, Is A Very Dangerous Profession

April 4, 20165:04 AM ET

Drug traffickers and a repressive state government make Veracruz one of the deadliest places for journalists in Mexico. Most now shun hard-hitting reporting, but still risk abduction and murder.

Mexico tortures migrants – and citizens – in effort to slow Central American surge…GUARDIAN

By Molly Molloy. NOTE from the article: The scale of US financial support for Mexican immigration control is opaque. At least $100m has been spent or pledged for training, new equipment and canine teams, according to Congressional Research Service. There are no human rights conditions attached to this aid. Department of Defence aid is separate and unknown.The INM said it has “never received a peso” from the US.



Mexico tortures migrants – and citizens – in effort to slow Central American surge