The most recent SESNSP data on homicide and other crime victims was published last week and shows a continuing increase in reported homicides nationwide in Mexico. The full report is available here: http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2017_102017.pdf
A quick summary of the homicide data for 2007-October 2017 is compiled below. molly molloy
HOMICIDE VICTIMSINMEXICO2007-OCTOBER 2017
Summary compiled by Molly Molloy, Latest update November 27, 2017
YEAR | #Homicides | Rate=#/100,000 |
2007* | 8,867 | 8 |
2008 | 14,006 | 13 |
2009 | 19,803 | 18 |
2010 | 25,757 | 23 |
2011 | 27,213 | 24 |
2012 | 25,967 | 22 |
2013 | 23,063 | 19 |
2014 | 20,010 | 17 |
2015 | 20,525 | 17 |
2016 | 23,953 | 20 |
2017(Jan-Oct)** | 23,968 | |
TOTAL | 233,132 |
The SESNSP REPORTED A TOTAL of 2,764 intentional homicides (homicidios dolosos) in October 2017. This is 200 more homicidios dolosos as reported in September 2017 and continues a trend of increasing violence in 2017. At this rate of increase, it is likely that 2017 will be the most violent year in recent history in Mexico. The previous high of 27,757 in 2011 could be surpassed this year if the current trend continues. With an average of 79 people per day, it is reasonable to predict more than 28,700 homicides in 2017.
If we add the estimate of more than 30,000 people reported missing/disappeared as reported by Mexican government agencies and civic groups, then the number of people killed or disappeared since 2007 is likely greated than 263,000. See:
http://personasdesaparecidas.org.mx/semblanza
Registro Nacional de Datos de Personas Extraviadas o Desaparecidas: https://rnped.segob.gob.mx/
*Homicide totals 2007-2016 from INEGI in report released in July 2017. See: http://www.inegi.org.mx/saladeprensa/boletines/2017/homicidios/homicidios2017_07.pdf
**Homicide totals for 2017 from SESNSP:
The latest report covers numbers of victims through October 2017: gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2017_102017.pdf
Charts for 2017 from SESNSP January-October:
Source: http://secretariadoejecutivo.gob.mx/docs/pdfs/victimas/Victimas2017_102017.pdf
Homicides decreased slightly during the first three years of Enrique Peña Nieto’s sexenio, but have increased significantly since 2015.
Sexenio | Homicides INEGI | Homicides per day |
Salinas 1989-1994 | 93,493* | 43 |
Zedillo 1995-2000 | 80,311 | 36 |
Fox 2001-2006 | 60,162 | 27 |
Calderón 2007-2012 | 121,683 | 56 |
*INEGI homicide data for 1990-1994 plus SINAIS (Sistema Nacional de Informacion de Salud) for 1989.
For an older and more detailed explanation of Mexican homicide statistics during this period of hyperviolence, see:
http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/the-mexican-undead-toward-a-new-history-of-the-%E2%80%9Cdrug-war%E2%80%9D-killing-fields The Mexican Undead: Toward a New History of the “Drug War” Killing Fields