Mexico’s Secretariat for Security & Citizen Protection of the Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNSP) updated crime victims statistics on September 20, with data on a variety of crimes for January-August 2019.
The numbers continue to move steadily upward, with totals of nearly 3,000 victims of homicide each month so far this year. The table below includes just the numbers of “homicidios dolosos” (intentional homicides/murders) and “feminicidios,” defined as gender-related homicides. The total number of homicides reported for 8 months is 23,724 (including homicidios dolosos + feminicidios)–on average about 98 people each day are victims of homicide in Mexico. If the trend continues at the same rate, the year will end with a death toll of more than 35,600 victims—this is about 1000 more victims according to the same dataset from 2018.
The only thing that really jumps out from these numbers is how depressingly similar the last few years have been in terms of the continual growth of homicidal violence in Mexico. It has been 10 months since AMLO took over as President, promising to improve security for the Mexican people, but the violence continues to increase. Also, at the high point of Calderon’s “drug war,” in 2011, there were about 27,200 homicides. After a decrease from 2012-2015, the trend turned around and started to climb. So far, it seems that the next high point remains in the future. Without considering the estimated 30,000-40,000 missing or disappeared, more than 301,000 Mexicans have been murdered since 2007.
[The tables above are screenshots from a spreadsheet I use to keep track of these numbers.]
Con más de 3 mil homicidios en agosto, 2019 mantiene récord de violencia
Colima, Baja California y Chihuahua registran las tasas más altas de homicidio doloso, mientras que Veracruz lidera en feminicidios.
En agosto, un total de 3 mil 54 personas fueron asesinadas en México. Con ello asciende a más de 23 mil 700 la cifra de personas asesinadas este año, lo que mantiene a 2019 en un nivel récord de violencia homicida. Los estados de Colima, Baja California y Chihuahua registran las tasas más altas de homicidio en lo que va del año, mientras que Veracruz lidera en el caso específico de los feminicidios.
Los datos oficiales actualizados del Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNSP) detallan que en agosto se registraron 2 mil 966 casos de homicidio doloso y 88 víctimas de feminicidio. Ello representa un promedio de entre 98 y 99 personas asesinadas todos los días.
The new cumulative data bulletin from Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Geografia (INEGI) was released on July 25, 2019, covering 2009-2018, total homicide data from Mexico. The full bulletin is online here:
Below is a table of summary data from 2007-present. The numbers for 2007-2018 are from INEGI; the figure for January-June 2019 is from the SESNSP:
The INEGI data is released each year at this time and I’ve saved and compiled it since about 2008. The preliminary data on Mexican homicides is released each month from a different agency, the SESNSP which reports homicides from procuradoras or fiscalias (state prosecutors’ offices) in each Mexican state. The INEGI data is gathered and reported from medical legal investigators offices in all of the states, compiling data from death certificates listing homicide as cause of death. So the two data sources are not exactly comparable. The INEGI data is generally considered the most valid.
Since I started tracking this about 10 years ago, the INEGI data has usually been higher than the preliminary SESNSP figures. For example, the SESNSP reported a total of 33,523 homicides in Mexico in 2018; the new INEGI data reports 35,964 for the same period. This new data shows that the increase in homicides from 2017-2018 was much higher than previously reported.
In addition to the raw numbers, the INEGI report shows the murder rate (# of homicides per 100,000 people) for the nation and for each state in Mexico. Between 2017 and 2018, the murder rate jumped from 26 to 29. It is significant to note that in 2011–the most violent year of the so-called “war on drugs”–the murder rate in Mexico was 24.
Adding in the estimate of January-June 2019 homicides from the SESNSP, the official number of victims for the past 12.5 years is now approaching 300,000. On average from 2007-June 2019, more than 65 people have been murdered each day in Mexico. During 2019, on average, 99 people per day were murdered in Mexico. This figure DOES NOT include any of the estimated 40,000 people reported missing and/or disappeared in Mexico. molly molloy
Screenshot from the INEGI report: https://www.inegi.org.mx/contenidos/saladeprensa/boletines/2019/EstSegPub/homicidios2018.pdf
New statistics from the National Public Security system were released yesterday, including the numbers of homicide and feminicide victims January – May 2019 in Mexico. Homicides increased in the month of May after a small decrease in April. So far this year, there have been about 14,500 intentional homicides; the number includes murders categorized as feminicides. This is an average of 96 murder victims each day in Mexico.
In the article below from Animal Politico, the number of homicides from December 2018 is included, in order to provide the total murders since the beginning of Lopez Obrador’s term in office = 17,498. An average of nearly 3,000 homicides each month.
As I’ve noted before, I am not certain that the number of feminicidios is in addition to the other homicidios dolosos or if it is included in the larger number. There is a special definition of feminicidio as a gender-specific crime. Animal Politico adds the feminicidios to the total.
The source for these numbers is the Secretariados Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Publica, an agency of the Secretaria de Gobernacion. You can access these data and other statistics here:
The documents include separate listings for each state and also include numbers of victims of other crimes.
Con 17,500 asesinatos, el primer semestre de AMLO es el más violento de los últimos sexenios
Mayo es el mes con el total más alto de homicidios y feminicidios y el segundo con mayor tasa del actual sexenio. Nuevo León, Tabasco y CDMX con el mayor repunte de crímenes
I checked the newest statistics from the Mexican SESNSP which include the number of homicide victims nationwide and by state for the month of January 2019. These are online here:
The total number of victims of homicidio doloso (intentional homicide) for January was 2,853. This comes to an average of 92 victims per day. There were 304 female homicide victims, 10 per day, or 10.6 percent of the total homicide victims.
The SESNSP statistics also record 75 victims of feminicidio. This is (I believe) a subset of the total of 304 female victims in which the prosecutors have determined that the woman was murdered because of her gender. The article in El Universal discusses the confusing nature of this way of classifying victims. The article quotes Maria de la Luz Estrada, coordinator of the National Citizens Observatory of Feminicide: “The authorities often designate many homicides as related to organized crime and those are simply not investigated…thus the numbers (of feminicides) tend to be lower.”
The numbers reported do indicate a slight increase in the percentage of homicide victims who are women, and an overall increase in the number of homicides nationwide in Mexico.
According to the data for all of 2018 reported here:
there were 33,341 intentional homicides in Mexico during 2018, an average of 91 victims each day.
The data in this document is not broken down by gender, however SESNSP reports that there were 861 feminicidios in 2018.
According to El Diario there were 95 homicides in Juarez during February 2019. In January there were 108 homicides so the total now for the year is 203. The article also provides a figure of more than 5,000 homicides statewide in Chihuahua dating from October 2016 when the administration of Governor Javier Corral began. The city of Juarez accounts for about HALF of the total homicides in the state of Chihuahua.
On average, 3.4 people have been murdered in Ciudad Juarez each day in 2019. There were a total of 1,259 murders in Juarez during 2018, an average of 3.4 murder victims per day.
Also below, El Diario reported the first homicide of March which occurred at about 12:20 am on March 1, 2019.
It may be worth noting again in terms of the Trump rhetoric of chaos and violence at the border, that the cities on the US side of the border have low homicide rates.
El Paso recently reported 23 homicides during 2018, and an average of 16 murders per year during the past decade.
The city announced on Friday that 2018 saw the lowest crime rate in 34 years, just as President Donald Trump has recently called the current state of the southwest border a national security crisis. There were no homicides in McAllen last year. There was the fewest number of robberies and aggravated assaults on record.
Termina febrero con 95 homicidios: Aumentan 121%
Van 203 en el año en Juárez y más de 5 mil en el estado en administración de Corral
El Diario de Juárez
Viernes, 01 Marzo 2019 | 06:00
El Mes De Febrero Cerró Con 95 Homicidios Dolosos Ocurridos En Ciudad Juárez, Que Representan Un Incremento Del 121 Por Ciento Respecto Al Mismo Mes Del Año Pasado, Cuando Hubo 43, De Acuerdo Con La Estadística De La Fiscalía Zona Norte.
La cifra, sumada a las 108 víctimas de enero, alcanza los 203 asesinatos en el 2019 al cierre de esta edición, mientras que en el mismo período del 2018 el registro oficial fue de 99 casos.
And the first victim of March 2019…killed at 12:20 am on March 1…
Acribillan a hombre en Eco 2000
En el lugar del asesinato fueron asegurados cinco casquillos percutidos de calibre 9 milímetros
El Diario de Juárez
Viernes, 01 Marzo 2019 | 06:12
Ciudad Juárez— Un hombre fue asesinado a balazos en los primeros minutos de este día, en el fraccionamiento Eco 2000.
Pegado a la pared de una casa, con cinco heridas de bala en cabeza, pecho y brazo derecho, quedó la víctima.
El homicidio ocurrió a las 00:20 horas, en las calles Lince y Santiago Troncoso.
El Diario reports that 6 people were murdered in Juarez yesterday in the space of 4 hours in the afternoon and evening. The killings took place in different neighborhoods and the police have not reported any arrests of persons responsible.
Also below, yesterday, El Diario reported that there had been a total of 138 homicides in 2019. There were 109 in January, so with the 6 people killed yesterday, the current homicide toll for February is about 35 victims in 11 days; a total of about 144 in 2019–an average of about 3.4 people per day.
In yesterday’s article, the spokesperson for the Fiscalia commented on the changing tactics of the killers (sicarios) over the 11 years of hyperviolence that began in 2008. He said that in earlier years, the killers tended to drive large luxury vehicles and primarily used AK-47 rifles. Now, the majority of the perpetrators drive smaller vehicles (usually stolen) and use 9mm pistols and fewer rifles. Though, the long weapons involved in recent killings are known to be restricted to the military. The spokesman said the majority of the weapons come from the US. No evidence for this is provided. molly molloy
Ejecutan a 6 en 4 horas
La racha de homicidios inició minutos después de las 5:00 de la tarde al ser reportada la ejecución de hombre
El Diario de Juárez
Martes, 12 Febrero 2019 | 06:00
Ciudad Juárez- Seis hombres fueron ejecutados ayer durante la tarde y noche –en un lapso de cuatro horas– en diferentes colonias y fraccionamientos de la ciudad, sin que la Policía reportara la detención de los responsables.
La racha de homicidios inició minutos después de las 5:00 de la tarde al ser reportada la ejecución de hombre, aparentemente chofer de Uber, en las calles Tepehuanes y Emilia Pérez Payan de la colonia Independencia.
Cambia perfil de sicarios
Dejan autos de lujo y ‘cuernos de chivo’ por vehículos robados y armas de uso exclusivo del Ejército
Lunes, 11 Febrero 2019 | 06:00
Ciudad Juárez— Hombres jóvenes, con armas de uso exclusivo del Ejército, a bordo de vehículos recién robados o con placas rojas, son los principales sicarios de Ciudad Juárez, según datos de la Fiscalía General del Estado en la Zona Norte (FGE).
Aproximadamente, el 80 por ciento de los homicidios que se cometen en esta frontera son entre pandillas criminales, que utilizan en su mayoría “armas calibre 9 mm, y también armas largas pero es muy poco”, dijo su vocero, Alejandro Ruvalcaba.
Pero después de 11 años de enfrentamientos entre los grupos del crimen organizado, y más de 15 mil víctimas, la forma de matar en esta ciudad ha cambiado.
New from Bob Moore reporting from Juarez and El Paso…
Local groups are planning protests. See: Border Network for Human Rights website for updates: http://bnhr.org/
Immigration advocates worry that the policy, which is in effect in California, sends migrants fleeing danger towards more violence.
I heard the author of this piece (posted below), Christy Thornton, on Democracy Now today. She presents an original and incisive analysis, both in her essay and in the Democracy Now interview… For so long, I have cringed at the coverage of Mexico’s human rights catastrophe presented as a drug war telenovela. So much popular journalism presents this disaster that has cost the lives of at least 300,000 people, as a series of gory and funny anecdotes that depict the violence in Mexico as the product of “kingpins” and their entitled “juniors” who behave as evil clowns and spoiled rich kids. This story should not be about the perpetrators, but about the hundreds of thousands of victims who are criminalized at the moment of their deaths. A lot of the mainstream coverage of these tales gets converted into the fictions of novels, movies, TV series’ that now @realdonaldtrump spews back at us as his warped reality… https://www.vox.com/2019/1/27/18198729/women-duct-tape-trump-truck-border And: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/01/17/trumps-stories-taped-up-women-smuggled-into-us-are-divorced-reality-experts-say/?utm_term=.ee992d8b604d
As I’ve recommended here before, see the daily coverage by Keegan Hamilton at VICE NEWS, @keeganhamilton on twitter. Also Alan Feuer of the New York Times @alanfeuer and pieces in The Guardian by Ed Vulliamy, most recently: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/feb/02/el-chapo-trial-revealed-betrayal-torture-bribe
Below: Christy Thornton
The full transcript is online at this link: